Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guangzhou Evergrande win with a probability of 58.66%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Suwon Bluewings had a probability of 18.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a Guangzhou Evergrande win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.77%) and 2-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.82%), while for a Suwon Bluewings win it was 0-1 (5.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.