SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bangkok United win with a probability of 44.84%. A win for Lion City Sailors had a probability of 32.49% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bangkok United win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.5%) and 0-2 (5.88%). The likeliest Lion City Sailors win was 2-1 (7.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Bangkok United in this match.
| Result | ||
| Lion City Sailors | Draw | Bangkok United |
32.49% ( -0.67) | 22.67% ( 0.12) | 44.84% ( 0.56) |
| Both teams to score 65.3% ( -0.74) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.62% ( -0.84) | 35.38% ( 0.85) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.58% ( -0.95) | 57.41% ( 0.95) |
| Lion City Sailors Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.05% ( -0.76) | 21.95% ( 0.77) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.77% ( -1.17) | 55.23% ( 1.18) |
| Bangkok United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.66% ( -0.12) | 16.34% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.06% ( -0.22) | 45.94% ( 0.22) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lion City Sailors | Draw | Bangkok United |
| 2-1 @ 7.47% ( -0.06) 1-0 @ 5.44% ( 0.11)2-0 @ 4.12% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 3.78% ( -0.12)3-2 @ 3.42% ( -0.12)3-0 @ 2.09% ( -0.06)4-1 @ 1.43% ( -0.08)4-2 @ 1.3% ( -0.08)Other @ 3.45% Total : 32.49% | 1-1 @ 9.85% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 6.77% ( -0.08)0-0 @ 3.59% ( 0.15)3-3 @ 2.07% ( -0.08)Other @ 0.4% Total : 22.67% | 1-2 @ 8.92% ( 0.1) 0-1 @ 6.5% ( 0.25)0-2 @ 5.88% ( 0.2)1-3 @ 5.39% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 4.09% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 3.55% ( 0.11)1-4 @ 2.44% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.85% ( -0.04)0-4 @ 1.61% ( 0.04)3-4 @ 0.94% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.67% Total : 44.84% |
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