Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shanghai Port win with a probability of 64.1%. A draw had a probability of 19% and a win for Kaya had a probability of 16.87%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shanghai Port win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.95%) and 1-0 (7.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.56%), while for a Kaya win it was 1-2 (4.66%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.