Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elfsborg win with a probability of 53.85%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Falkenbergs had a probability of 21.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Elfsborg win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.93%) and 1-2 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.53%), while for a Falkenbergs win it was 1-0 (6.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Elfsborg would win this match.