Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kalmar win with a probability of 38.4%. A win for Halmstads BK had a probability of 33.62% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kalmar win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.04%) and 2-0 (7.14%). The likeliest Halmstads BK win was 0-1 (10.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.