Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kalmar win with a probability of 57.83%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Helsingborg had a probability of 18.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kalmar win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.86%) and 2-1 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.05%), while for a Helsingborg win it was 0-1 (6.27%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kalmar would win this match.