Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malmo win with a probability of 61.55%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Mjallby AIF had a probability of 18.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malmo win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.43%) and 1-0 (8.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.42%), while for a Mjallby AIF win it was 1-2 (4.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Malmo would win this match.