Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elfsborg win with a probability of 45.41%. A win for Ostersunds FK had a probability of 29.77% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Elfsborg win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.24%) and 0-2 (7.51%). The likeliest Ostersunds FK win was 1-0 (7.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Elfsborg in this match.