Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a IFK Norrkoping win with a probability of 54.12%. A win for Ostersunds FK had a probability of 23.55% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a IFK Norrkoping win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.7%) and 0-2 (8.27%). The likeliest Ostersunds FK win was 2-1 (6.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that IFK Norrkoping would win this match.