Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sirius win with a probability of 41.82%. A win for Ostersunds FK had a probability of 33.07% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sirius win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.88%) and 2-0 (6.79%). The likeliest Ostersunds FK win was 0-1 (7.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.