Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rukh Brest win with a probability of 58.87%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for FC Minsk had a probability of 19.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rukh Brest win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.83%) and 2-0 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.16%), while for a FC Minsk win it was 1-2 (5.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rukh Brest would win this match.