Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shakhtyor Soligorsk win with a probability of 68.88%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for FC Minsk had a probability of 12.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shakhtyor Soligorsk win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.11%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.64%), while for a FC Minsk win it was 0-1 (3.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shakhtyor Soligorsk would win this match.