Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genk win with a probability of 47.57%. A win for Beerschot Wilrijk had a probability of 28.06% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Genk win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.43%) and 0-2 (7.81%). The likeliest Beerschot Wilrijk win was 1-0 (6.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.47%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.
