Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charleroi win with a probability of 50.43%. A win for Beerschot Wilrijk had a probability of 25.35% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Charleroi win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.61%) and 2-0 (8.61%). The likeliest Beerschot Wilrijk win was 0-1 (6.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.47%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Charleroi would win this match.
