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Belgian Pro League | Gameweek 5
Aug 28, 2021 at 3.15pm UK
Stade du Pays de Charleroi

Charleroi
5 - 2
Beerschot VA

Nicholson (37', 51', 78'), Morioka (60', 90')
Wasinski (22'), Morioka (62')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Holzhauser (59'), Keita (88' og.)
Halaimia (50'), Soumare (54'), Radic (58'), Van den Bergh (75')
De Smet (5'), Radic (89')
Coverage of the Belgian Pro League clash between Charleroi and Beerschot Wilrijk.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charleroi win with a probability of 50.43%. A win for Beerschot Wilrijk had a probability of 25.35% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Charleroi win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.61%) and 2-0 (8.61%). The likeliest Beerschot Wilrijk win was 0-1 (6.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.47%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Charleroi would win this match.

Result
CharleroiDrawBeerschot Wilrijk
50.43%24.22%25.35%
Both teams to score 54.64%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.83%47.17%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.6%69.4%
Charleroi Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.27%18.73%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.9%50.11%
Beerschot Wilrijk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.23%32.77%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.67%69.33%
Score Analysis
    Charleroi 50.43%
    Beerschot Wilrijk 25.35%
    Draw 24.22%
CharleroiDrawBeerschot Wilrijk
1-0 @ 10.28%
2-1 @ 9.61%
2-0 @ 8.61%
3-1 @ 5.36%
3-0 @ 4.81%
3-2 @ 2.99%
4-1 @ 2.25%
4-0 @ 2.01%
4-2 @ 1.25%
Other @ 3.26%
Total : 50.43%
1-1 @ 11.47%
0-0 @ 6.14%
2-2 @ 5.36%
3-3 @ 1.11%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 24.22%
0-1 @ 6.85%
1-2 @ 6.4%
0-2 @ 3.82%
1-3 @ 2.38%
2-3 @ 1.99%
0-3 @ 1.42%
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 25.35%

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