SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eupen win with a probability of 39.24%. A win for Westerlo had a probability of 35.93% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eupen win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.26%) and 2-0 (6.11%). The likeliest Westerlo win was 1-2 (8.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Eupen | Draw | Westerlo |
39.24% ( 0.29) | 24.83% ( -0.09) | 35.93% ( -0.2) |
| Both teams to score 58.29% ( 0.3) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.06% ( 0.39) | 44.94% ( -0.39) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.71% ( 0.38) | 67.29% ( -0.38) |
| Eupen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.23% ( 0.32) | 22.77% ( -0.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.53% ( 0.47) | 56.46% ( -0.48) |
| Westerlo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.48% ( 0.07) | 24.52% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.01% ( 0.1) | 58.99% ( -0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Eupen | Draw | Westerlo |
| 2-1 @ 8.59% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 8.26% ( -0.06)2-0 @ 6.11% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 4.24% ( 0.06)3-0 @ 3.02% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 2.98% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 1.57% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 1.12% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.1% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.26% Total : 39.24% | 1-1 @ 11.61% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 6.04% ( 0.04)0-0 @ 5.58% ( -0.1)3-3 @ 1.4% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.83% | 1-2 @ 8.16% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 7.85% ( -0.12)0-2 @ 5.52% ( -0.07)1-3 @ 3.82% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.83% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 2.59% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 1.34% ( 0)2-4 @ 0.99% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 0.91% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.91% Total : 35.93% |
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