Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Standard Liege win with a probability of 56.9%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Leuven had a probability of 21.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Standard Liege win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.28%) and 0-2 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.2%), while for a Leuven win it was 2-1 (5.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.