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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Royal Excel Mouscron win with a probability of 38.06%. A win for Mechelen had a probability of 36.79% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Royal Excel Mouscron win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.44%) and 2-0 (6.04%). The likeliest Mechelen win was 0-1 (8.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.83%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Royal Excel Mouscron | Draw | Mechelen |
| 38.06% | 25.15% | 36.79% |
| Both teams to score 57.2% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.62% | 46.38% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.34% | 68.66% |
| Royal Excel Mouscron Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.98% | 24.03% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 41.71% | 58.29% |
| Mechelen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.29% | 24.71% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 40.75% | 59.26% |
| Score Analysis |
| Royal Excel Mouscron | Draw | Mechelen |
| 1-0 @ 8.47% 2-1 @ 8.44% 2-0 @ 6.04% 3-1 @ 4.01% 3-0 @ 2.87% 3-2 @ 2.8% 4-1 @ 1.43% 4-0 @ 1.02% 4-2 @ 1% Other @ 1.98% Total : 38.06% | 1-1 @ 11.83% 0-0 @ 5.94% 2-2 @ 5.9% 3-3 @ 1.31% Other @ 0.18% Total : 25.15% | 0-1 @ 8.3% 1-2 @ 8.27% 0-2 @ 5.8% 1-3 @ 3.86% 2-3 @ 2.75% 0-3 @ 2.7% 1-4 @ 1.35% 2-4 @ 0.96% 0-4 @ 0.95% Other @ 1.86% Total : 36.79% |
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