SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gent win with a probability of 40.87%. A win for Sint-Truiden had a probability of 34.21% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gent win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.64%) and 0-2 (6.49%). The likeliest Sint-Truiden win was 2-1 (7.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sint-Truiden | Draw | Gent |
| 34.21% | 24.92% | 40.87% |
| Both teams to score 57.64% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.35% | 45.65% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.03% | 67.97% |
| Sint-Truiden Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.16% | 25.84% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 39.2% | 60.81% |
| Gent Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.72% | 22.28% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 44.27% | 55.73% |
| Score Analysis |
| Sint-Truiden | Draw | Gent |
| 2-1 @ 7.92% 1-0 @ 7.79% 2-0 @ 5.27% 3-1 @ 3.57% 3-2 @ 2.68% 3-0 @ 2.38% 4-1 @ 1.21% 4-2 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.49% Total : 34.21% | 1-1 @ 11.69% 2-2 @ 5.94% 0-0 @ 5.76% 3-3 @ 1.34% Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.92% | 1-2 @ 8.78% 0-1 @ 8.64% 0-2 @ 6.49% 1-3 @ 4.4% 0-3 @ 3.25% 2-3 @ 2.97% 1-4 @ 1.65% 0-4 @ 1.22% 2-4 @ 1.12% Other @ 2.35% Total : 40.87% |
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