Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a America Mineiro win with a probability of 43.2%. A win for Cuiaba had a probability of 30.33% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an America Mineiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.84%) and 2-0 (7.8%). The likeliest Cuiaba win was 0-1 (8.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.58%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.
