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B
Brasileiro | Gameweek 3
Aug 16, 2020 at 8pm UK
Estadio de Pituacu
B

Bahia
2 - 1
Bragantino

Juninho (26'), Ernando (90+3')
Ronaldo (56')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Ortiz (77')
Ryller (49')
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Bahia and Bragantino.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bahia win with a probability of 49.28%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Bragantino had a probability of 25.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bahia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.32%) and 2-0 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.19%), while for a Bragantino win it was 0-1 (7.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bahia would win this match.

Result
BahiaDrawBragantino
49.28%25.69%25.03%
Both teams to score 49.78%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.58%53.42%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.05%74.95%
Bahia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.3%21.7%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.15%54.85%
Bragantino Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.57%36.43%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.78%73.22%
Score Analysis
    Bahia 49.28%
    Bragantino 25.03%
    Draw 25.69%
BahiaDrawBragantino
1-0 @ 12.07%
2-1 @ 9.32%
2-0 @ 9.23%
3-1 @ 4.75%
3-0 @ 4.7%
3-2 @ 2.4%
4-1 @ 1.81%
4-0 @ 1.8%
4-2 @ 0.92%
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 49.28%
1-1 @ 12.19%
0-0 @ 7.91%
2-2 @ 4.7%
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 25.69%
0-1 @ 7.98%
1-2 @ 6.16%
0-2 @ 4.03%
1-3 @ 2.07%
2-3 @ 1.58%
0-3 @ 1.36%
Other @ 1.85%
Total : 25.03%


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