Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Corinthians win with a probability of 50.33%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Coritiba had a probability of 22.43%.
The most likely scoreline for a Corinthians win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.45%) and 2-1 (8.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.48%), while for a Coritiba win it was 0-1 (8.85%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Corinthians would win this match.