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C
Brasileiro | Gameweek 4
Aug 20, 2020 at 1.30am UK
Estádio do Pacaembu
C

Corinthians
3 - 1
Coritiba

Natel (38'), Jo (49'), Silva (87')
Araos (17'), Piton (73')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Sassa (42')
Patrick (28')
Sasse (15')
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Corinthians and Coritiba.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Corinthians win with a probability of 50.33%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Coritiba had a probability of 22.43%.

The most likely scoreline for a Corinthians win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.45%) and 2-1 (8.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.48%), while for a Coritiba win it was 0-1 (8.85%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Corinthians would win this match.

Result
CorinthiansDrawCoritiba
50.33%27.24%22.43%
Both teams to score 43.02%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.13%60.87%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.1%80.89%
Corinthians Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.59%24.41%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.17%58.82%
Coritiba Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.92%43.08%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.64%79.36%
Score Analysis
    Corinthians 50.32%
    Coritiba 22.43%
    Draw 27.23%
CorinthiansDrawCoritiba
1-0 @ 14.82%
2-0 @ 10.45%
2-1 @ 8.81%
3-0 @ 4.92%
3-1 @ 4.14%
3-2 @ 1.74%
4-0 @ 1.73%
4-1 @ 1.46%
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 50.32%
1-1 @ 12.48%
0-0 @ 10.51%
2-2 @ 3.71%
Other @ 0.53%
Total : 27.23%
0-1 @ 8.85%
1-2 @ 5.26%
0-2 @ 3.73%
1-3 @ 1.48%
0-3 @ 1.05%
2-3 @ 1.04%
Other @ 1.03%
Total : 22.43%


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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