SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortaleza win with a probability of 48.44%. A draw had a probability of 26.9% and a win for Athletico Paranaense had a probability of 24.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortaleza win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.61%) and 2-1 (8.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.58%), while for an Athletico Paranaense win it was 0-1 (8.83%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Fortaleza | Draw | Athletico Paranaense |
| 48.44% | 26.9% | 24.66% |
| Both teams to score 46.06% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.91% | 58.1% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.24% | 78.76% |
| Fortaleza Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.94% | 24.07% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 41.66% | 58.34% |
| Athletico Paranaense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.66% | 39.35% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 23.95% | 76.05% |
| Score Analysis |
| Fortaleza | Draw | Athletico Paranaense |
| 1-0 @ 13.48% 2-0 @ 9.61% 2-1 @ 8.96% 3-0 @ 4.56% 3-1 @ 4.25% 3-2 @ 1.98% 4-0 @ 1.62% 4-1 @ 1.52% Other @ 2.45% Total : 48.43% | 1-1 @ 12.58% 0-0 @ 9.47% 2-2 @ 4.18% Other @ 0.67% Total : 26.9% | 0-1 @ 8.83% 1-2 @ 5.87% 0-2 @ 4.12% 1-3 @ 1.82% 2-3 @ 1.3% 0-3 @ 1.28% Other @ 1.44% Total : 24.66% |
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