Sport
3 - 2
Ceara

Elton (20', 34' pen.), Gomez (42')
Adryelson (47'), Rafael (53'), Elton (68')

FT(HT: 3-1)

Cleber (36'), Jacare (57')
Fabinho (33'), Xavier (49'), Sobral (55')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Sport Recife and Ceara.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sport Recife win with a probability of 49.4%. A draw had a probability of 27.6% and a win for Ceara had a probability of 22.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sport Recife win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.29%) and 2-1 (8.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.6%), while for a Ceara win it was 0-1 (9.15%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sport Recife would win this match.

Result
Sport Recife	Draw	Ceara
49.4%	27.62%	22.97%

Both teams to score 42.62%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

38.3%

61.69%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.49%

81.51%

Sport Recife Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.79%

25.21%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.05%

59.94%

Ceara Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.98%

43.01%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.69%

79.3%

Score Analysis

Sport Recife 49.4%

Ceara 22.97%

Draw 27.61%

Sport Recife	Draw	Ceara
1-0 @ 14.94% 2-0 @ 10.29% 2-1 @ 8.69% 3-0 @ 4.73% 3-1 @ 3.99% 3-2 @ 1.68% 4-0 @ 1.63% 4-1 @ 1.37% Other @ 2.08% Total : 49.4%	1-1 @ 12.6% 0-0 @ 10.84% 2-2 @ 3.66% Other @ 0.51% Total : 27.61%	0-1 @ 9.15% 1-2 @ 5.32% 0-2 @ 3.86% 1-3 @ 1.5% 0-3 @ 1.09% 2-3 @ 1.03% Other @ 1.04% Total : 22.97%