CAF Champions League | First Preliminary Round | 2nd Leg
Aug 25, 2024 at 1pm UK
Nyayo National Stadium
Ochieng Oduor (11'), Chris Onyango (21'), Otieno Omija (35'),
Onyango (81', 90+2')
Ochieng Oduor (23'), Omondi Onyango (85')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Akinbinu (8')
Abdalla Hussein Elfaki (23')
Coverage of the CAF Champions League First Preliminary Round clash between Gor Mahia and Al Merreikh Juba.
Form, Standings, Stats
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gor Mahia win with a probability of 72.72%. A draw had a probability of 18.2% and a win for Al Merreikh Juba had a probability of 9.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gor Mahia win was 2-0 with a probability of 15.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (14.41%) and 3-0 (10.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.39%), while for an Al Merreikh Juba win it was 0-1 (4.01%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gor Mahia would win this match.
| Result |
| Gor Mahia | Draw | Al Merreikh Juba |
72.72% ( -0.42) | 18.21% ( 0.33) | 9.07% ( 0.1) |
| Both teams to score 38.7% ( -0.59) |
| 50.05% ( -1.06) | 49.95% ( 1.05) |
| 28.06% ( -0.95) | 71.93% ( 0.95) |
| 87.68% ( -0.42) | 12.32% ( 0.42) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 61.88% ( -0.89) | 38.12% ( 0.89) |
| 44.14% ( -0.46) | 55.86% ( 0.46) |
