CAF Champions League | First Preliminary Round | 1st Leg
Aug 16, 2024 at 6pm UK
Lucas Masterpieces Moripe Stadium
Madja (46')
Mathabela (77')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Danito (3')
Coverage of the CAF Champions League First Preliminary Round clash between Mbabane Swallows and Ferroviario Beira.
Form, Standings, Stats
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mbabane Swallows win with a probability of 37.63%. A win for Ferroviario Beira had a probability of 34.37% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mbabane Swallows win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.94%) and 2-0 (6.97%). The likeliest Ferroviario Beira win was 0-1 (10.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Mbabane Swallows in this match.
| Result |
| Mbabane Swallows | Draw | Ferroviario Beira |
37.63% ( 0.01) | 28% ( -0) | 34.37% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 47.69% ( 0.02) |
| 41.66% ( 0.02) | 58.34% ( -0.02) |
| 21.05% ( 0.02) | 78.95% ( -0.02) |
| 70.1% ( 0.02) | 29.9% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 34% ( 0.02) | 66% ( -0.02) |
| 68.04% ( 0.01) | 31.96% ( -0.01) |
