CAF Champions League | Second Preliminary Round | 1st Leg
Sep 14, 2024 at 2pm UK
Levy Mwanawasa Stadium
FT(HT: 0-0)
Kabwit tshikomb (66'), Ngimbi (72')
Coverage of the CAF Champions League Second Preliminary Round clash between Red Arrows and TP Mazembe.
Form, Standings, Stats
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a TP Mazembe win with a probability of 41.69%. A win for Red Arrows had a probability of 29.34% and a draw had a probability of 29%.
The most likely scoreline for a TP Mazembe win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.3%) and 1-2 (8.05%). The likeliest Red Arrows win was 1-0 (10.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that TP Mazembe would win this match.
| Result |
| Red Arrows | Draw | TP Mazembe |
29.34% ( -0.16) | 28.96% ( 0.02) | 41.69% ( 0.14) |
| Both teams to score 43.66% ( -0.12) |
| 37.32% ( -0.12) | 62.68% ( 0.12) |
| 17.77% ( -0.08) | 82.23% ( 0.08) |
| 62.08% ( -0.19) | 37.91% ( 0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 25.31% ( -0.19) | 74.68% ( 0.19) |
| 70.33% ( 0.02) | 29.67% ( -0.02) |
