SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SC Villa win with a probability of 42.18%. A win for Ethiopia Nigd Bank had a probability of 30.21% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a SC Villa win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.49%) and 2-0 (8%). The likeliest Ethiopia Nigd Bank win was 0-1 (9.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| SC Villa | Draw | Ethiopia Nigd Bank |
42.18% ( 1.04) | 27.61% ( 0.02) | 30.21% ( -1.07) |
| Both teams to score 47.72% ( -0.5) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.22% ( -0.43) | 57.78% ( 0.42) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.48% ( -0.34) | 78.51% ( 0.33) |
| SC Villa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.95% ( 0.36) | 27.05% ( -0.37) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 37.58% ( 0.47) | 62.41% ( -0.48) |
| Ethiopia Nigd Bank Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.41% ( -1.02) | 34.59% ( 1.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 28.69% ( -1.09) | 71.31% ( 1.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| SC Villa | Draw | Ethiopia Nigd Bank |
| 1-0 @ 12.23% ( 0.32) 2-1 @ 8.49% ( 0.08)2-0 @ 8% ( 0.29)3-1 @ 3.7% ( 0.07)3-0 @ 3.49% ( 0.16)3-2 @ 1.97% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.21% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 1.14% ( 0.06)Other @ 1.95% Total : 42.17% | 1-1 @ 12.98% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 9.36% ( 0.15)2-2 @ 4.51% ( -0.08)Other @ 0.76% Total : 27.6% | 0-1 @ 9.93% ( -0.11) 1-2 @ 6.89% ( -0.2)0-2 @ 5.27% ( -0.21)1-3 @ 2.44% ( -0.14)0-3 @ 1.87% ( -0.13)2-3 @ 1.6% ( -0.08)Other @ 2.22% Total : 30.21% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
