CAF Champions League | First Preliminary Round | 1st Leg

Aug 18, 2024 at 8pm UK

Stade Nelson Mandela

Watanga
0 - 2
MC Alger

(MC Alger win 4-0 on aggregate)

FT(HT: 0-2)

Draoui (13'), Tiagori Emmanuel Junior Zunon (45')

Data Analysis

Coverage of the CAF Champions League First Preliminary Round clash between Watanga and MC Alger.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watanga win with a probability of 38.65%. A win for MC Alger had a probability of 33.71% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Watanga win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.15%) and 2-0 (7.1%). The likeliest MC Alger win was 0-1 (10.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.

Result
Watanga	Draw	MC Alger
38.65% ( -0.19)	27.63%	33.71% ( 0.18)

Both teams to score 48.71% (

0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.97% (

0.03)

57.03% (

-0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.08% (

0.02)

77.92% (

-0.02)

Watanga Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.34% (

-0.09)

28.66% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.53% (

-0.12)

64.47% (

0.12)

MC Alger Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.27% (

0.14)

31.73% (

-0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.85% (

0.16)

68.15% (

-0.16)

Score Analysis

Watanga 38.65%

MC Alger 33.71%

Draw 27.63%

Watanga	Draw	MC Alger
1-0 @ 11.36% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 8.15% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 7.1% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 3.4% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 2.96% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 1.95% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.06% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 0.92% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.75% Total : 38.65%	1-1 @ 13.04% 0-0 @ 9.09% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.68% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.82% Total : 27.63%	0-1 @ 10.43% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 7.49% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 5.99% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 2.87% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 2.29% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.79% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.85% Total : 33.71%