Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dalian Yifang win with a probability of 39.3%. A win for Changchun Yatai had a probability of 36.72% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dalian Yifang win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.28%) and 2-0 (5.69%). The likeliest Changchun Yatai win was 1-2 (8.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.
