Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guangzhou Evergrande win with a probability of 59.96%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Shanghai Shenhua had a probability of 19.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Guangzhou Evergrande win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.28%) and 1-0 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.69%), while for a Shanghai Shenhua win it was 1-2 (5.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Guangzhou Evergrande would win this match.