Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shanghai SIPG win with a probability of 57.1%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Qingdao Hainiu had a probability of 20.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shanghai SIPG win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.91%) and 0-2 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.59%), while for a Qingdao Hainiu win it was 1-0 (5.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.