Copa del Rey | First Round
Nov 1, 2023 at 4.30pm UK
Estadio El Montecillo
Coverage of the Copa del Rey First Round clash between Arandina and Real Murcia.
Form, Standings, Stats
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arandina win with a probability of 37.85%. A win for Real Murcia had a probability of 33% and a draw had a probability of 29.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arandina win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.66%) and 2-0 (7.31%). The likeliest Real Murcia win was 0-1 (11.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Arandina in this match.
| Result |
| Arandina | Draw | Real Murcia |
37.85% ( -0) | 29.15% ( 0) | 33% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 44.26% ( -0.01) |
| 37.52% ( -0.01) | 62.47% ( 0.01) |
| 17.91% ( -0.01) | 82.08% ( 0.01) |
| 68.15% ( -0.01) | 31.84% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 31.71% ( -0.01) | 68.28% ( 0.01) |
| 64.94% ( -0.01) | 35.06% ( 0.01) |
