Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bergantinos win with a probability of 37.56%. A win for Marbella had a probability of 33.2% and a draw had a probability of 29.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bergantinos win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.6%) and 2-0 (7.26%). The likeliest Marbella win was 0-1 (11.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.