Ceuta
1 - 1
Numancia

Ceuta win 3-2 on penalties

J (76')
J (64'), M (86'), I (103'), J (119')

FT
(aet)

N (47')
A (37'), Nacho (61')

Coverage of the Copa del Rey First Round clash between Ceuta and Numancia.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Numancia win with a probability of 78.23%. A draw had a probability of 14% and a win for Ceuta had a probability of 7.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a Numancia win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (10.73%) and 0-1 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.64%), while for a Ceuta win it was 1-0 (2.53%).

Result
Ceuta	Draw	Numancia
7.75%	14.02%	78.23%

Both teams to score 47.2%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

64.78%

35.22%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

42.76%

57.24%

Ceuta Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

50.88%

49.12%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

15.96%

84.04%

Numancia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

92.76%

7.24%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

73.75%

26.25%

Score Analysis

Ceuta 7.75%

Numancia 78.23%

Draw 14.02%

Ceuta	Draw	Numancia
1-0 @ 2.53% 2-1 @ 2.36% Other @ 2.86% Total : 7.75%	1-1 @ 6.64% 0-0 @ 3.56% 2-2 @ 3.1% Other @ 0.72% Total : 14.02%	0-2 @ 12.26% 0-3 @ 10.73% 0-1 @ 9.34% 1-2 @ 8.72% 1-3 @ 7.63% 0-4 @ 7.05% 1-4 @ 5.01% 0-5 @ 3.7% 2-3 @ 2.71% 1-5 @ 2.63% 2-4 @ 1.78% 0-6 @ 1.62% 1-6 @ 1.15% 2-5 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.97% Total : 78.23%