Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Numancia win with a probability of 78.23%. A draw had a probability of 14% and a win for Ceuta had a probability of 7.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Numancia win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (10.73%) and 0-1 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.64%), while for a Ceuta win it was 1-0 (2.53%).
