Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Betis win with a probability of 68.56%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Ibiza Islas Pitiusas had a probability of 12.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Betis win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (12.53%) and 1-2 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.19%), while for a Ibiza Islas Pitiusas win it was 1-0 (4.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Betis would win this match.
0.35) 
-0.38) 
