Copa del Rey | First Round
Nov 1, 2023 at 11am UK
Estadio La Salera
Lora (90+1')
Martinez (27'), Merino (53'), Parrado (88')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Antonio Gonzalez (1'),
Garcia (49')
Perez (31'), Masogo (87')
Coverage of the Copa del Rey First Round clash between Naxara and Melilla.
Form, Standings, Stats
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melilla win with a probability of 35.68%. A win for Naxara had a probability of 34.66% and a draw had a probability of 29.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melilla win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.26%) and 0-2 (6.86%). The likeliest Naxara win was 1-0 (12.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Melilla would win this match.
| Result |
| Naxara | Draw | Melilla |
34.66% ( -0.05) | 29.65% ( 0.02) | 35.68% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 43.06% ( -0.05) |
| 36% ( -0.06) | 64% ( 0.06) |
| 16.81% ( -0.05) | 83.18% ( 0.05) |
| 65.28% ( -0.07) | 34.72% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 28.55% ( -0.07) | 71.45% ( 0.07) |
| 65.97% ( -0.02) | 34.03% ( 0.02) |
