Sestao River
1 - 1
Lugo

Sestao River win 6-5 on penalties

L (37')
A (106'), A (116')

FT
(aet)

Herrera (90+2')

Coverage of the Copa del Rey First Round clash between Sestao River and Lugo.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lugo win with a probability of 42.95%. A win for Sestao River had a probability of 30.47% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lugo win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.8%) and 0-2 (7.79%). The likeliest Sestao River win was 1-0 (9.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.62%).

Result
Sestao River	Draw	Lugo
30.47%	26.58%	42.95%

Both teams to score 50.87%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.19%

53.8%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.72%

75.27%

Sestao River Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.68%

32.32%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.17%

68.82%

Lugo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.17%

24.83%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.58%

59.42%

Score Analysis

Sestao River 30.47%

Lugo 42.95%

Draw 26.57%

Sestao River	Draw	Lugo
1-0 @ 9.06% 2-1 @ 7.13% 2-0 @ 5.12% 3-1 @ 2.69% 3-0 @ 1.93% 3-2 @ 1.87% Other @ 2.67% Total : 30.47%	1-1 @ 12.62% 0-0 @ 8.03% 2-2 @ 4.97% Other @ 0.96% Total : 26.57%	0-1 @ 11.18% 1-2 @ 8.8% 0-2 @ 7.79% 1-3 @ 4.09% 0-3 @ 3.62% 2-3 @ 2.31% 1-4 @ 1.42% 0-4 @ 1.26% Other @ 2.49% Total : 42.95%