Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 80.41%. A draw had a probability of 12.5% and a win for Tarazona had a probability of 7.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (10.35%) and 1-2 (8.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.76%), while for a Tarazona win it was 2-1 (2.22%).