Afogados
0 - 2
Ponte Preta

Candinho (45+7'), Luciano (45+7'), Teles (45+7'), Bomba (62'), Edivan (78'), Erivelton (80')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Roberto (45+7'), Lazaroni (68')
Oyama (25'), Apodi (43'), Ivan (54'), Dawhan (70')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Copa do Brasil Third Stage clash between Afogados and Ponte Preta.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ponte Preta win with a probability of 41.65%. A win for Afogados had a probability of 30.36% and a draw had a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ponte Preta win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.35%) and 0-2 (7.99%). The likeliest Afogados win was 1-0 (10.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.09%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ponte Preta would win this match.

Result
Afogados	Draw	Ponte Preta
30.36%	27.99%	41.65%

Both teams to score 46.7%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.91%

59.09%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.46%

79.54%

Afogados Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.82%

35.18%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.07%

71.93%

Ponte Preta Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.04%

27.95%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.41%

63.58%

Score Analysis

Afogados 30.36%

Ponte Preta 41.64%

Draw 27.99%

Afogados	Draw	Ponte Preta
1-0 @ 10.27% 2-1 @ 6.84% 2-0 @ 5.37% 3-1 @ 2.38% 3-0 @ 1.87% 3-2 @ 1.52% Other @ 2.11% Total : 30.36%	1-1 @ 13.09% 0-0 @ 9.83% 2-2 @ 4.36% Other @ 0.7% Total : 27.99%	0-1 @ 12.53% 1-2 @ 8.35% 0-2 @ 7.99% 1-3 @ 3.55% 0-3 @ 3.39% 2-3 @ 1.85% 1-4 @ 1.13% 0-4 @ 1.08% Other @ 1.78% Total : 41.64%