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Copa do Brasil | Third Stage
Aug 25, 2020 at 11pm UK
Estádio Raimundo Sampaio

America Mineiro
1 - 0
Ferroviaria

Rodolfo (90+4')
Berola (89')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Max (48')
Coverage of the Copa do Brasil Third Stage clash between America Mineiro and Ferroviaria.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a America Mineiro win with a probability of 56.05%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Ferroviaria had a probability of 18.91%.

The most likely scoreline for an America Mineiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.51%) and 2-1 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.65%), while for a Ferroviaria win it was 0-1 (7.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for America Mineiro in this match.

Result
America MineiroDrawFerroviaria
56.05%25.05%18.91%
Both teams to score 44.15%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.08%56.92%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.17%77.83%
America Mineiro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.7%20.3%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.33%52.67%
Ferroviaria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.4%44.6%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.39%80.61%
Score Analysis
    America Mineiro 56.04%
    Ferroviaria 18.91%
    Draw 25.04%
America MineiroDrawFerroviaria
1-0 @ 14.43%
2-0 @ 11.51%
2-1 @ 9.29%
3-0 @ 6.12%
3-1 @ 4.94%
4-0 @ 2.44%
3-2 @ 1.99%
4-1 @ 1.97%
Other @ 3.35%
Total : 56.04%
1-1 @ 11.65%
0-0 @ 9.05%
2-2 @ 3.75%
Other @ 0.58%
Total : 25.04%
0-1 @ 7.31%
1-2 @ 4.71%
0-2 @ 2.95%
1-3 @ 1.27%
2-3 @ 1.01%
Other @ 1.66%
Total : 18.91%


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