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Copa do Brasil | Third Stage
Aug 26, 2020 at 1.30am UK
Estádio João Francisco dos Santos

Fluminense
3 - 0
Figueirense

Nene (15', 55', 81' pen.)
Araujo (51')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Marquinho (43')
Coverage of the Copa do Brasil Third Stage clash between Fluminense and Figueirense.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fluminense win with a probability of 43.17%. A draw had a probability of 28.5% and a win for Figueirense had a probability of 28.34%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fluminense win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.59%) and 2-1 (8.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.13%), while for a Figueirense win it was 0-1 (10.39%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fluminense would win this match.

Result
FluminenseDrawFigueirense
43.17%28.49%28.34%
Both teams to score 44.41%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.5%61.5%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.63%81.36%
Fluminense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.72%28.28%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36%63.99%
Figueirense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.93%38.07%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.16%74.84%
Score Analysis
    Fluminense 43.16%
    Figueirense 28.33%
    Draw 28.48%
FluminenseDrawFigueirense
1-0 @ 13.59%
2-0 @ 8.59%
2-1 @ 8.29%
3-0 @ 3.62%
3-1 @ 3.49%
3-2 @ 1.69%
4-0 @ 1.14%
4-1 @ 1.1%
Other @ 1.65%
Total : 43.16%
1-1 @ 13.13%
0-0 @ 10.76%
2-2 @ 4.01%
Other @ 0.59%
Total : 28.48%
0-1 @ 10.39%
1-2 @ 6.34%
0-2 @ 5.02%
1-3 @ 2.04%
0-3 @ 1.62%
2-3 @ 1.29%
Other @ 1.64%
Total : 28.33%


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