Junior
4 - 1
Independiente

Valencia (44', 55', 79'), Hinestroza (85')
Rosero (57'), Piedrahita (58')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Torres (20')
Caicedo (34'), Murillo (72'), Guerrero (90+3')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Atletico Junior and Independiente del Valle.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Junior win with a probability of 37.64%. A win for Independiente del Valle had a probability of 33.96% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Junior win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.85%) and 2-0 (7.07%). The likeliest Independiente del Valle win was 0-1 (11.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.25%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Junior would win this match.

Result
Atletico Junior	Draw	Independiente del Valle
37.64%	28.4%	33.96%

Both teams to score 46.5%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.21%

59.79%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.92%

80.08%

Atletico Junior Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.38%

30.61%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.15%

66.85%

Independiente del Valle Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.02%

32.98%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.43%

69.56%

Score Analysis

Atletico Junior 37.64%

Independiente del Valle 33.95%

Draw 28.38%

Atletico Junior	Draw	Independiente del Valle
1-0 @ 11.95% 2-1 @ 7.85% 2-0 @ 7.07% 3-1 @ 3.1% 3-0 @ 2.79% 3-2 @ 1.72% 4-1 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.25% Total : 37.64%	1-1 @ 13.25% 0-0 @ 10.09% 2-2 @ 4.35% Other @ 0.69% Total : 28.38%	0-1 @ 11.19% 1-2 @ 7.35% 0-2 @ 6.21% 1-3 @ 2.72% 0-3 @ 2.3% 2-3 @ 1.61% Other @ 2.57% Total : 33.95%