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Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
Sep 18, 2020 at 3am UK
TBC

Guarani
4 - 1
Tigre

Merlini (26'), Dominguez (67' pen.), Benitez (83', 90')
Lopes (42'), Morel (70')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Magnin (9')
Gallardo (37')
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Club Guarani and Tigre.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Guarani win with a probability of 43.08%. A win for Tigre had a probability of 30.92% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Club Guarani win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.91%) and 2-0 (7.55%). The likeliest Tigre win was 0-1 (8.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.36%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Club Guarani would win this match.

Result
Club GuaraniDrawTigre
43.08%25.99%30.92%
Both teams to score 52.9%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.72%51.28%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.89%73.11%
Club Guarani Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.35%23.65%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.25%57.75%
Tigre Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.29%30.71%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.04%66.96%
Score Analysis
    Club Guarani 43.08%
    Tigre 30.92%
    Draw 25.99%
Club GuaraniDrawTigre
1-0 @ 10.47%
2-1 @ 8.91%
2-0 @ 7.55%
3-1 @ 4.28%
3-0 @ 3.63%
3-2 @ 2.53%
4-1 @ 1.54%
4-0 @ 1.31%
4-2 @ 0.91%
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 43.08%
1-1 @ 12.36%
0-0 @ 7.26%
2-2 @ 5.26%
3-3 @ 1%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.99%
0-1 @ 8.57%
1-2 @ 7.3%
0-2 @ 5.06%
1-3 @ 2.87%
2-3 @ 2.07%
0-3 @ 1.99%
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 30.92%


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