Libertad
0 - 2
Boca Juniors

Mejia (47'), Bareiro (61'), Ferreira (76')
Bareiro (86')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Salvio (6', 84')
Campuzano (34'), Mas (77')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Club Libertad and Boca Juniors.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 41.06%. A win for Club Libertad had a probability of 31.75% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.5%) and 0-2 (7.55%). The likeliest Club Libertad win was 1-0 (9.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.87%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Boca Juniors would win this match.

Result
Club Libertad	Draw	Boca Juniors
31.75%	27.18%	41.06%

Both teams to score 49.55%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.26%

55.73%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.12%

76.87%

Club Libertad Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.59%

32.41%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.07%

68.92%

Boca Juniors Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.3%

26.69%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.05%

61.95%

Score Analysis

Club Libertad 31.75%

Boca Juniors 41.06%

Draw 27.18%

Club Libertad	Draw	Boca Juniors
1-0 @ 9.75% 2-1 @ 7.25% 2-0 @ 5.49% 3-1 @ 2.72% 3-0 @ 2.06% 3-2 @ 1.8% Other @ 2.67% Total : 31.75%	1-1 @ 12.87% 0-0 @ 8.65% 2-2 @ 4.79% Other @ 0.87% Total : 27.18%	0-1 @ 11.42% 1-2 @ 8.5% 0-2 @ 7.55% 1-3 @ 3.74% 0-3 @ 3.32% 2-3 @ 2.11% 1-4 @ 1.24% 0-4 @ 1.1% Other @ 2.09% Total : 41.06%