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Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
Sep 17, 2020 at 11pm UK
Norberto Tomaghello

Defensa
3 - 0
Delfin

Romero (52'), Hachen (55'), Leguizamon (79')
Rius (20'), Frias (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Gonzalez (24'), Ale (43')
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Defensa y Justicia and Delfin.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensa y Justicia win with a probability of 56.46%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Delfin had a probability of 19.05%.

The most likely scoreline for a Defensa y Justicia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.27%) and 2-1 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.51%), while for a Delfin win it was 0-1 (7%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Defensa y Justicia would win this match.

Result
Defensa y JusticiaDrawDelfin
56.46%24.49%19.05%
Both teams to score 45.85%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.22%54.78%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.91%76.09%
Defensa y Justicia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.7%19.3%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.94%51.06%
Delfin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.82%43.18%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.55%79.44%
Score Analysis
    Defensa y Justicia 56.45%
    Delfin 19.05%
    Draw 24.49%
Defensa y JusticiaDrawDelfin
1-0 @ 13.71%
2-0 @ 11.27%
2-1 @ 9.47%
3-0 @ 6.18%
3-1 @ 5.19%
4-0 @ 2.54%
3-2 @ 2.18%
4-1 @ 2.14%
Other @ 3.77%
Total : 56.45%
1-1 @ 11.51%
0-0 @ 8.34%
2-2 @ 3.98%
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 24.49%
0-1 @ 7%
1-2 @ 4.83%
0-2 @ 2.94%
1-3 @ 1.35%
2-3 @ 1.11%
Other @ 1.81%
Total : 19.05%


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