Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensa y Justicia win with a probability of 56.46%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Delfin had a probability of 19.05%.
The most likely scoreline for a Defensa y Justicia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.27%) and 2-1 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.51%), while for a Delfin win it was 0-1 (7%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Defensa y Justicia would win this match.