Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Second Round clash between Gremio and Ayacucho.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gremio win with a probability of 63.38%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Ayacucho had a probability of 15.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gremio win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.21%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.9%), while for an Ayacucho win it was 0-1 (4.96%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gremio would win this match.
