Medellin
2 - 3
Caracas

Reina (45+3' pen.), Castro (46')
Castro (42'), Rodriguez (49')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Fereira (6'), Contreras (24'), Blanco (54')
Contreras (13'), Rivero (45+2'), Osio (86'), Bonsu Osei (90+3')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Independiente Medellin and Caracas.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente Medellin win with a probability of 51.58%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Caracas had a probability of 22.19%.

The most likely scoreline for a Independiente Medellin win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.39%) and 2-1 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.24%), while for a Caracas win it was 0-1 (8.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.

Result
Independiente Medellin	Draw	Caracas
51.58%	26.23%	22.19%

Both teams to score 45.35%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.3%

57.7%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.55%

78.45%

Independiente Medellin Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.52%

22.48%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.97%

56.03%

Caracas Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.5%

41.49%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.01%

77.99%

Score Analysis

Independiente Medellin 51.58%

Caracas 22.19%

Draw 26.22%

Independiente Medellin	Draw	Caracas
1-0 @ 13.92% 2-0 @ 10.39% 2-1 @ 9.14% 3-0 @ 5.17% 3-1 @ 4.55% 3-2 @ 2% 4-0 @ 1.93% 4-1 @ 1.7% Other @ 2.79% Total : 51.58%	1-1 @ 12.24% 0-0 @ 9.33% 2-2 @ 4.02% Other @ 0.64% Total : 26.22%	0-1 @ 8.2% 1-2 @ 5.39% 0-2 @ 3.61% 1-3 @ 1.58% 2-3 @ 1.18% 0-3 @ 1.06% Other @ 1.18% Total : 22.19%