Monagas
1 - 0
Everton

(Everton win 3-1 on aggregate)

Gonzalez (46')
Zalzman (2'), Mello (53'), Montero (84'), Romero (89')
Guerra (78')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Oyarzun (37'), Valenzuela (90+3')

Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Second Round clash between Monagas and Everton.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monagas win with a probability of 40.56%. A win for Everton had a probability of 35.13% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monagas win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.84%) and 2-0 (6.1%). The likeliest Everton win was 1-2 (8.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Monagas would win this match.

Result
Monagas	Draw	Everton
40.56%	24.31%	35.13%

Both teams to score 60.05%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.4%

42.6%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35%

65%

Monagas Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.89%

21.11%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.06%

53.94%

Everton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.12%

23.88%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.92%

58.08%

Score Analysis

Monagas 40.56%

Everton 35.13%

Draw 24.3%

Monagas	Draw	Everton
2-1 @ 8.73% 1-0 @ 7.84% 2-0 @ 6.1% 3-1 @ 4.53% 3-2 @ 3.24% 3-0 @ 3.16% 4-1 @ 1.76% 4-2 @ 1.26% 4-0 @ 1.23% Other @ 2.71% Total : 40.56%	1-1 @ 11.22% 2-2 @ 6.25% 0-0 @ 5.04% 3-3 @ 1.55% Other @ 0.24% Total : 24.3%	1-2 @ 8.04% 0-1 @ 7.22% 0-2 @ 5.17% 1-3 @ 3.84% 2-3 @ 2.99% 0-3 @ 2.47% 1-4 @ 1.38% 2-4 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.97% Total : 35.13%