Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana First Round clash between 12 de Octubre and Club Nacional.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Nacional win with a probability of 55.81%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for 12 de Octubre had a probability of 20.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Club Nacional win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.53%) and 1-2 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.38%), while for a 12 de Octubre win it was 1-0 (6.69%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.