SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Grau win with a probability of 65.63%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Real Garcilaso had a probability of 14.23%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Grau win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.57%) and 2-1 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.58%), while for a Real Garcilaso win it was 0-1 (4.69%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Atletico Grau | Draw | Real Garcilaso |
65.63% ( 0.17) | 20.14% ( -0.08) | 14.23% ( -0.09) |
| Both teams to score 49% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.73% ( 0.15) | 45.27% ( -0.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.39% ( 0.14) | 67.61% ( -0.14) |
| Atletico Grau Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.04% ( 0.09) | 12.96% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 60.55% ( 0.19) | 39.45% ( -0.2) |
| Real Garcilaso Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.3% ( -0.05) | 43.7% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 20.12% ( -0.04) | 79.87% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Atletico Grau | Draw | Real Garcilaso |
| 2-0 @ 11.82% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 11.57% ( -0.03)2-1 @ 9.79% ( -0)3-0 @ 8.05% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 6.67% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 4.11% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 3.41% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.76% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 1.68% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.41% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.39% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.97% Total : 65.63% | 1-1 @ 9.58% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 5.66% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 4.05% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.85% Total : 20.14% | 0-1 @ 4.69% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 3.97% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 1.94% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.12% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.09% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.42% Total : 14.23% |
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